Biggest lock for Survivor 50

I just got back into survivor and I have binging the new era going backwards from 47. Idk about y’all but I feel like Matthew from Survivor 44 is the biggest lock for 50 imo. He has a great story, played the game well, and got taken out too early due to his dislocated shoulder injury. Obviously Carolyn is the big name from this season but like, I can’t see a world where they don’t give Matthew another shot.